Belediye Kütahyaspor vs Viven Bornova FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
8º
4º
23
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 70 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 58 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 56 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 55 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 49 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 47 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 42 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 41 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 36 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 34 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 31 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 28 |
14º
|
35.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 25 |
15º
|
43.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 20 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
19% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
76.5% | 17.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
4% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belediye Kütahyaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
AHP
0 - 3
BKS
18%
24%
58%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
BKS
1 - 3
ELA
67%
21%
13%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
KBS
2 - 2
BKS
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BKS
0 - 1
KIR
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SOM
0 - 1
BKS
58%
22%
21%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Viven Bornova FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
VBK
1 - 1
SIL
54%
22%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
KAH
1 - 1
VBK
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
VBK
0 - 3
ANA
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MUS
1 - 1
VBK
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
VBK
0 - 2
FET
21%
20%
60%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |