Belediye Derincespor vs Erbaaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belediye Derincespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 1
ICE
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ERO
1 - 1
BEL
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 0
KIR
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
EDI
0 - 0
BEL
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
BEL
3 - 0
PAY
77%
14%
8%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Erbaaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
BUR
2 - 0
ERB
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ERB
1 - 1
CAT
38%
29%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ABF
1 - 0
ERB
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ERB
1 - 0
KEL
37%
28%
35%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
ERB
1 - 1
KAR
38%
28%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |