Q. Europa League Ronda Previa Final
Global 3-4
Belasica vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belasica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
BEL
3 - 2
CEM
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
TIK
1 - 1
BEL
18%
23%
59%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2002 |
LEX
2 - 2
BEL
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
BEL
1 - 0
PEL
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
JUG
0 - 0
BEL
50%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
SCP
5 - 1
LEX
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2002 |
LEX
2 - 2
BEL
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
SCP
1 - 0
LEX
82%
13%
5%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2002 |
SPB
1 - 3
LEX
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2002 |
LEX
3 - 1
POR
45%
26%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |