Bela Vista vs Barra da Tijuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
69.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+577%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bela Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
MAG
6 - 0
BVI
73%
16%
11%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
BVI
1 - 6
CGA
9%
14%
77%
|
10 | 47 | 37 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
PER
1 - 0
BVI
80%
13%
8%
|
10 | 43 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
BVI
1 - 1
QUE
12%
16%
71%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
DUQ
1 - 2
BVI
88%
9%
4%
|
7 | 43 | 36 | +2 |
Matches
Barra da Tijuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 1
CEC
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
PFC
0 - 1
BAR
27%
22%
51%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
QUE
1 - 1
BAR
24%
22%
55%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 0
MAG
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
ANG
2 - 1
BAR
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |