Q. Europa League Ronda previa Final
Global 2-1
Békéscsaba vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Békéscsaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1994 |
BEK
5 - 2
FTC
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1994 |
SOP
2 - 2
BEK
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1994 |
VAR
1 - 1
BEK
50%
25%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1994 |
BEK
2 - 1
VAS
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1990 |
CSE
2 - 0
BEK
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1994 |
VAR
1 - 1
BEK
50%
25%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
VAR
0 - 3
FCP
22%
27%
51%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
FCP
3 - 0
VAR
94%
5%
2%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
VAR
1 - 1
DUN
26%
24%
51%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
DUN
2 - 0
VAR
86%
9%
5%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |