Beira Mar SC vs Vila Meã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
9º
9º
22
8º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
BMA
45%
27%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BMA
3 - 0
FFC
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GON
3 - 2
BMA
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
VSC
2 - 1
BMA
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BMA
0 - 0
VAL
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Meã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 3
VAL
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
AMA
2 - 1
VIL
70%
19%
11%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 1
REB
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 1
VIL
61%
21%
17%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 2
ADM
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |