Beira Mar SC vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
GFC
1 - 1
BMA
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
BMA
1 - 1
SAN
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
TRO
0 - 1
BMA
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
BMA
1 - 3
SCF
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
BMA
3 - 0
VAR
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 0
EST
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
VAR
2 - 2
PEN
36%
29%
36%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 0
CHA
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 0
PEN
51%
26%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 1
FAT
50%
28%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |