Beira Mar SC vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
25.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1990 |
NAC
2 - 0
BMA
57%
25%
19%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
CHA
2 - 1
BMA
58%
25%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1990 |
BMA
0 - 2
VIT
37%
31%
33%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1990 |
VST
0 - 0
BMA
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
BMA
1 - 0
BEL
37%
31%
32%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1990 |
PEN
2 - 1
VIT
23%
32%
46%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
VST
3 - 1
PEN
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1990 |
PEN
1 - 0
BEL
23%
33%
44%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
EST
0 - 1
PEN
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
PEN
0 - 0
UNM
42%
31%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |