Beira Mar SC vs USC Paredes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
9º
9º
35
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FFC
3 - 1
BMA
10%
15%
75%
|
46 | 7 | 39 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ADM
2 - 2
BMA
7%
14%
80%
|
47 | 7 | 40 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BMA
2 - 1
ODO
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 2
BMA
39%
27%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BMA
0 - 2
VSC
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 2
PAR
24%
24%
53%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 0
VAL
16%
24%
60%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AMA
1 - 0
PAR
59%
24%
17%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
REB
27%
29%
44%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ANA
2 - 1
PAR
38%
27%
35%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |