Beira Mar SC vs Oliveira Douro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
9º
9º
26
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 2
BMA
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BMA
0 - 2
VSC
80%
14%
6%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BMA
3 - 0
ALB
70%
18%
13%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
BMA
3 - 1
MOR
63%
21%
17%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 1
BMA
16%
23%
61%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Oliveira Douro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ODO
0 - 2
VAL
15%
22%
63%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ODO
3 - 5
GFC
7%
14%
80%
|
22 | 65 | 43 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ODO
4 - 3
CES
16%
20%
64%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | +3 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
ALI
4 - 0
ODO
56%
22%
22%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ODO
1 - 0
PAR
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |