Beira Mar SC vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
49.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
FCB
0 - 4
BMA
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
BMA
4 - 0
ACV
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
BMA
2 - 3
VST
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
FAM
1 - 2
BMA
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
BMA
0 - 1
EST
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
FCP
2 - 1
FAM
90%
7%
3%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
EST
1 - 1
FCP
19%
27%
54%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
FCP
1 - 1
VIT
81%
13%
7%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
SCP
0 - 0
FCP
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
FCP
0 - 0
BOA
81%
12%
6%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |