Prev. Taça da Liga Final
Global 5-2
Beira Mar SC vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
OLH
1 - 1
BMA
49%
28%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
SPB
2 - 3
BMA
73%
19%
9%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
BMA
3 - 1
NAV
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
BMA
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MIR
1 - 1
BMA
17%
23%
61%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
ARO
3 - 0
FAT
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
FAT
0 - 2
TRO
37%
28%
36%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2010 |
AVE
2 - 0
FAT
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
FAT
2 - 2
EST
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 0
FAT
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |