Beira Mar SC vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
ATL
4 - 1
BMA
45%
23%
32%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
BMA
1 - 1
FCP
28%
22%
50%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
FAB
1 - 0
VIT
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
BEL
5 - 1
FAB
79%
13%
8%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1961 |
FCP
3 - 0
FAB
89%
8%
3%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
FAB
7 - 1
LGC
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
ATL
2 - 0
FAB
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |