Beira Mar SC vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
57.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
GFC
3 - 0
BMA
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
BMA
1 - 0
MOR
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
NAC
3 - 0
BMA
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
BMA
0 - 0
FCP
18%
24%
58%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
BEL
1 - 0
BMA
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
AND
3 - 0
SLB
54%
23%
23%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 0
SLB
51%
22%
27%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
SLB
1 - 0
AND
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 2
SLB
54%
23%
23%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
SLB
0 - 0
UDL
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |