Prev. Taça da Liga Final
Global 2-2
Beira Mar SC vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BMA
4 - 1
GRI
82%
12%
5%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 0
BMA
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2013 |
BMA
0 - 1
POR
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
TRO
1 - 1
BMA
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 0
BMA
33%
29%
37%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
ARO
0 - 1
SPB
16%
23%
61%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 1
ARO
70%
18%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ARO
1 - 0
RIO
31%
28%
42%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ARO
1 - 2
EST
31%
28%
40%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SCP
5 - 1
ARO
67%
21%
12%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |