Beira Mar SC vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
9º
9º
59
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
REB
0 - 0
BMA
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BMA
1 - 0
PAR
64%
22%
14%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FFC
3 - 1
BMA
10%
15%
75%
|
46 | 7 | 39 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ADM
2 - 2
BMA
7%
14%
80%
|
47 | 7 | 40 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BMA
2 - 1
ODO
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AMA
2 - 0
VAL
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SER
0 - 2
AMA
39%
28%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AMA
3 - 0
VSC
77%
15%
9%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
REB
2 - 2
AMA
49%
26%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AMA
1 - 0
PAR
59%
24%
17%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |