Beira Mar SC vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 0
BMA
59%
24%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
BMA
42%
28%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
FAR
1 - 2
BMA
51%
26%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
BMA
1 - 1
FEI
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
UNM
2 - 0
BMA
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
VIT
3 - 0
ACA
57%
24%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
ACA
1 - 1
MAR
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
VST
1 - 0
ACA
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ACA
1 - 0
FCP
14%
22%
64%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
OLH
0 - 1
ACA
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |