Beira Mar SC vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
MAR
1 - 2
BMA
45%
27%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
BMA
3 - 1
BEL
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1978 |
BMA
2 - 1
SPB
44%
26%
31%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1978 |
SLB
5 - 1
BMA
83%
12%
6%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
BMA
2 - 3
FCP
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
ACA
0 - 2
FAM
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
EST
1 - 0
ACA
53%
28%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1978 |
ACA
0 - 0
SCP
20%
25%
54%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
BOA
1 - 0
ACA
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
ACA
1 - 1
VAR
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |