Beira Mar SC vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
UFT
2 - 0
BMA
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
BMA
2 - 2
FCP
24%
28%
49%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
VST
2 - 0
BMA
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
BMA
0 - 0
VIT
30%
28%
43%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
EST
1 - 0
BMA
69%
19%
11%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
ACA
2 - 0
LEX
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1975 |
BOA
4 - 2
ACA
73%
18%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
ACA
1 - 4
SCP
17%
26%
57%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
FAB
0 - 0
ACA
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
ACA
1 - 0
SPB
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |