Beijing Guoan vs Yanbian Longding analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
16.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BEI
0 - 0
SHI
70%
20%
10%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
LIA
0 - 2
BEI
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
SHA
2 - 2
BEI
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
JIA
2 - 1
BEI
50%
25%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
BEI
1 - 2
CHO
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Yanbian Longding
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
YAN
3 - 2
HEB
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 1
YAN
50%
25%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
YAN
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
YAN
1 - 1
SHA
29%
27%
45%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
YAN
2 - 1
SHA
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |