Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
BEI
3 - 1
FCS
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
BEI
1 - 0
CBC
86%
10%
4%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
MEL
0 - 2
BEI
23%
24%
53%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
BEI
3 - 1
MEL
73%
17%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
FCS
1 - 2
BEI
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Wuhan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
WUZ
2 - 0
TFC
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
WUZ
1 - 0
HAN
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
HAN
2 - 2
WUZ
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
SHI
1 - 2
WUZ
42%
26%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
WUZ
0 - 0
SHI
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |