Beijing Guoan vs Wuhan FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.4%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
BEI
5 - 1
SWC
89%
8%
2%
|
76 | 31 | 45 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
SHA
0 - 3
BEI
26%
29%
45%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
QIN
1 - 1
BEI
35%
29%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2013 |
BEI
3 - 0
SHA
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
HAN
2 - 1
BEI
32%
30%
38%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Wuhan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
WUZ
2 - 1
JIA
19%
32%
49%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2013 |
WUZ
1 - 4
GUA
13%
21%
66%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2013 |
SHA
1 - 0
WUZ
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
SHA
1 - 0
WUZ
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
WUZ
1 - 1
QIN
29%
29%
43%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |