Beijing Guoan vs Urawa Reds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 4
BEI
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
JEO
3 - 1
BEI
65%
20%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
WUZ
0 - 1
BEI
26%
27%
46%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
SHA
2 - 0
BEI
61%
20%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
RBS
2 - 0
BEI
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Urawa Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
MAT
0 - 1
URA
21%
25%
54%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
URA
3 - 0
BUR
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
URA
0 - 2
CON
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
VEG
0 - 0
URA
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
KAW
1 - 0
URA
57%
21%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |