Beijing Guoan vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
6º
4º
36
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 76 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 74 |
2º
|
76% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 62 |
3º
|
96% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 53 |
4º
|
92.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 47 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 43 |
6º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 40 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 35 |
8º
|
36.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 31 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 31 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 29 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 29 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 27 |
15º
|
69% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 19 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
4% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
WWF
1 - 3
BEI
8%
16%
77%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
5 - 1
BEI
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
BEI
1 - 2
WFC
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
BEI
2 - 0
SHA
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
BEI
4 - 0
SHI
78%
15%
8%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
TIT
4 - 3
CHA
47%
23%
30%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
CBC
2 - 1
TIT
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
TIT
2 - 2
CHA
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
TIT
3 - 0
SJF
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
TIT
23%
26%
51%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |