Beijing Guoan vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
SHA
1 - 0
BEI
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
BEI
5 - 1
QIN
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BEI
2 - 1
QIN
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
HEB
3 - 3
BEI
24%
25%
50%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
BEI
2 - 0
TIT
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
SHI
1 - 4
CHO
42%
25%
34%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
SHI
0 - 1
SHA
18%
23%
59%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
TIT
2 - 0
SHI
37%
23%
41%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
TIT
1 - 1
SHI
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
SHI
1 - 0
WUZ
40%
25%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |