Beijing Guoan vs Shenzhen FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2011 |
BEI
6 - 1
SHA
64%
22%
15%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
LIA
0 - 0
BEI
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
BEI
2 - 0
QIN
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
BEI
1 - 0
SHA
71%
19%
11%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 3
BEI
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Shenzhen FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
SHE
2 - 1
SHA
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
DAL
0 - 0
SHE
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SHE
0 - 1
GUA
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
SHE
0 - 3
DAL
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
HAN
2 - 1
SHE
58%
25%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |