CSL Playoffs Campeonato Final
Global 3-2
Beijing Guoan vs Shanghái Port analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
SHA
1 - 2
BEI
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
3 - 1
BEI
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
BEI
0 - 0
GUA
32%
23%
45%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
BEI
2 - 1
SHA
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
SHA
2 - 2
BEI
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Shanghái Port
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
SHA
1 - 2
BEI
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
SHA
1 - 2
JIA
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
JIA
1 - 1
SHA
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
SHA
1 - 1
SHA
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SHA
0 - 0
SHA
26%
24%
50%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |