Beijing Guoan vs Shanghái Port analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
POH
0 - 0
BEI
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BEI
1 - 0
GUA
35%
27%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
JIA
0 - 0
BEI
49%
25%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
QIN
0 - 2
BEI
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
DAL
3 - 1
BEI
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Shanghái Port
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
HAN
3 - 0
SHA
50%
25%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SHA
6 - 0
SHI
30%
24%
46%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +3 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SHA
0 - 0
GUI
62%
24%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
SHA
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SHA
0 - 0
BIT
69%
20%
12%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |