Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Shenhua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
6º
4º
64
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 76 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 74 |
2º
|
76% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 62 |
3º
|
96% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 53 |
4º
|
92.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 47 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 43 |
6º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 40 |
7º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 35 |
8º
|
36.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 31 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 31 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 29 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 29 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 27 |
15º
|
69% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 19 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 24% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 76% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
4% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
SJF
1 - 0
BEI
20%
25%
55%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BEI
2 - 0
TIT
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
WWF
1 - 3
BEI
8%
16%
77%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
5 - 1
BEI
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
BEI
1 - 2
WFC
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Shanghai Shenhua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
WFC
0 - 2
SHA
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 5
SHA
11%
23%
66%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
SJF
0 - 0
SHA
20%
25%
55%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 2
CHA
68%
20%
13%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
6 - 0
SHA
41%
25%
35%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |