Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Shenhua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
GUI
1 - 0
BEI
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
BEI
0 - 1
ULS
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
SHA
2 - 2
BEI
61%
22%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CHE
0 - 2
BEI
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
ULS
1 - 0
BEI
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Shanghai Shenhua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 0
SHA
43%
26%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
SUW
2 - 1
SHA
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
SHA
4 - 1
SHE
72%
19%
10%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
GUI
0 - 0
SHA
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
SHA
2 - 1
SUW
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |