FA Cup Final
Global 3-3
Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Taishan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
37.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
HEB
2 - 1
BEI
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
BEI
3 - 1
SHA
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
TIA
0 - 0
BEI
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
HEN
2 - 0
BEI
23%
27%
50%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
BEI
1 - 1
CHA
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Shandong Taishan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SHA
2 - 2
SHA
32%
25%
43%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
SHA
3 - 2
JIA
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
SHA
2 - 0
CHA
71%
18%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SHA
4 - 2
SHA
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SHA
2 - 0
TIT
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |