Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Taishan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
BEI
2 - 0
TIT
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
GUI
0 - 0
BEI
39%
28%
34%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
BEI
0 - 1
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
GUA
0 - 2
BEI
25%
29%
47%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
BEI
3 - 0
QIN
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Shandong Taishan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
SHA
1 - 1
HAN
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
SHA
1 - 1
DAL
56%
23%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
TIT
1 - 0
SHA
26%
25%
50%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
SHA
4 - 0
XIA
80%
14%
7%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
GUI
0 - 0
SHA
21%
23%
56%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |