Beijing Guoan vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
11%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
FCS
1 - 2
BEI
24%
25%
51%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
BEI
1 - 1
SHA
42%
24%
33%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
SHA
1 - 2
BEI
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
GUA
3 - 1
BEI
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
BEI
0 - 0
GUA
32%
23%
45%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
WES
2 - 1
MEL
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
PER
0 - 4
MEL
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2020 |
MEL
2 - 3
CCM
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
MEL
1 - 2
BRI
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
MEL
1 - 2
WUF
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |