Beijing Guoan vs Meizhou Hakka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
9.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
6º
4º
23
12º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 78 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 74 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 59 |
3º
|
87.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 56 |
4º
|
85.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 47 |
5º
|
93% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 39 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 35 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 34 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 32 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 30 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
36% | |
|
|
15º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
67% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 22 |
16º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 75.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
BEI
2 - 1
CBC
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
TIT
0 - 1
BEI
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
HAN
1 - 2
BEI
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BEI
4 - 1
QYI
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 1
BEI
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Meizhou Hakka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
MEI
1 - 1
SHI
45%
24%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
MEI
1 - 1
QYI
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
MEI
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
TIT
0 - 0
MEI
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
MEI
0 - 0
QIN
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |