Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Whowin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2017 |
TIA
2 - 2
BEI
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
BEI
2 - 2
SHA
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
HEN
0 - 2
BEI
27%
29%
44%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
SHA
1 - 2
BEI
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
BEI
2 - 0
GUI
66%
22%
13%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Liaoning Whowin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2017 |
LIA
0 - 3
GUA
10%
19%
71%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
4 - 1
LIA
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
LIA
1 - 0
CHA
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
JIA
4 - 0
LIA
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
LIA
1 - 2
HEN
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |