Beijing Guoan vs Jingchuan Wenhui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
3.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BEI
3 - 1
WUZ
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
BEI
0 - 2
WFC
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
BEI
2 - 1
HEN
58%
24%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BEI
4 - 1
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
BEI
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |