Beijing Guoan vs Jiangsu FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
BEI
1 - 1
SHA
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
BEI
6 - 3
HEB
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
SHA
2 - 2
BEI
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
SHA
2 - 1
BEI
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
BEI
3 - 2
TIA
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Jiangsu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
JIA
3 - 1
GUI
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
HEN
0 - 1
JIA
32%
28%
41%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
JIA
1 - 1
SHA
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
GUA
3 - 2
JIA
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
HEB
0 - 0
JIA
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |