Beijing Guoan vs Henan FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
16.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
SHA
0 - 0
BEI
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BEI
3 - 1
GUA
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 1
BEI
26%
29%
45%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BEI
1 - 2
SHA
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
BEI
3 - 0
YAN
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Henan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
HEN
1 - 2
CHA
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
HEN
0 - 2
SHI
54%
27%
20%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SHA
2 - 2
HEN
65%
21%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
HEN
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
HEN
2 - 1
SHA
36%
28%
37%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |