Beijing Guoan vs Henan FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
BEI
4 - 2
KTB
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
NAM
1 - 3
BEI
15%
25%
60%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2007 |
BEI
1 - 0
SHA
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
BEI
2 - 0
TIT
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
GUI
0 - 0
BEI
39%
28%
34%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Henan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2007 |
HEN
0 - 0
TIT
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
GUI
0 - 0
HEN
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
HEN
3 - 2
CHA
29%
29%
42%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
GUA
2 - 1
HEN
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
HEN
3 - 1
QIN
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |