Beijing Guoan vs Hebei FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
BEI
2 - 2
HAN
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
BEI
0 - 2
SHA
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
BEI
1 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
WUZ
1 - 4
BEI
28%
27%
45%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
WFC
5 - 1
BEI
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Hebei FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MEI
6 - 0
HEB
69%
19%
13%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
HAN
3 - 0
HEB
61%
22%
16%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
HEB
1 - 7
CHA
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
HEB
0 - 7
SHA
11%
20%
70%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
HEB
3 - 4
TIT
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |