Beijing Guoan vs Hebei FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
13.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
BEI
2 - 1
SHA
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
HUB
0 - 3
BEI
16%
23%
61%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
BEI
1 - 2
JIA
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 1
BEI
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BEI
0 - 0
LIA
62%
22%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hebei FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
HEB
77%
14%
9%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
SHA
0 - 1
HEB
13%
17%
70%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
HEB
4 - 3
HEN
41%
30%
29%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LIA
0 - 2
HEB
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SHA
2 - 0
HEB
61%
23%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |