Beijing Guoan vs Zhejiang FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
DAL
1 - 2
BEI
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BEI
2 - 0
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
TIT
0 - 0
BEI
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
HEN
2 - 2
BEI
30%
28%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
QIN
0 - 1
BEI
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Zhejiang FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
HAN
1 - 3
CHA
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SHA
1 - 1
HAN
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
HAN
1 - 0
GUI
42%
29%
29%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
SHA
1 - 0
HAN
67%
21%
13%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
CHO
2 - 1
HAN
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |