Beijing Guoan vs Guizhou Zhicheng analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
SHA
0 - 1
BEI
26%
24%
50%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
BEI
2 - 2
GUA
25%
25%
51%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CHO
3 - 3
BEI
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
BEI
1 - 1
TIT
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
BEI
4 - 0
GUI
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Guizhou Zhicheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
ANH
1 - 2
GUI
21%
20%
59%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
GUI
2 - 5
CHA
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
GUI
2 - 1
GUI
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
GUI
0 - 1
TIA
24%
26%
50%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
SHA
0 - 2
GUI
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +2 |