Beijing Guoan vs Guangzhou Songri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
DAL
0 - 0
BEI
63%
21%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
BEI
2 - 0
CHO
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1998 |
BEI
0 - 0
SIC
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
QIN
2 - 2
BEI
26%
28%
46%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
BEI
2 - 1
WUH
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Guangzhou Songri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
GUA
1 - 0
CHO
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
SIC
4 - 0
GUA
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
GUA
0 - 2
QIN
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
WUH
1 - 0
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
GUA
2 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |