Beijing Guoan vs Guangzhou FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
BEI
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BEI
3 - 3
SHA
25%
24%
51%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 1
BEI
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
DAL
2 - 2
BEI
26%
26%
49%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
BEI
3 - 1
HEB
71%
19%
11%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
SHA
3 - 0
GUA
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 3
MEI
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
GUA
30%
24%
46%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 0
TIT
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |