CSL Playoffs Campeonato Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Beijing Guoan vs Guangzhou FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
44.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
BEI
2 - 1
SHA
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
SHA
2 - 2
BEI
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
BEI
4 - 0
SHI
73%
17%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
SHA
1 - 0
BEI
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
BEI
5 - 1
QIN
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Guangzhou FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
GUA
5 - 0
HEB
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
HEB
1 - 3
GUA
17%
21%
63%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 0
DAL
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
JIA
2 - 1
GUA
27%
23%
50%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
HEN
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |