Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Liangjiang analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
BEI
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
BEI
1 - 0
HAN
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
BEI
1 - 2
GUA
36%
26%
39%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
HEB
0 - 1
BEI
36%
31%
34%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
BEI
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chongqing Liangjiang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 0
CHO
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 0
SHI
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
SHA
5 - 3
CHO
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
HEN
0 - 3
CHO
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
GUA
4 - 1
CHO
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |