Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Liangjiang analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
10.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
NAG
0 - 0
BEI
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2009 |
BEI
2 - 0
NEW
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
BEI
2 - 0
CHE
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
BEI
1 - 0
GUA
69%
21%
10%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
QIN
1 - 2
BEI
28%
28%
43%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Chongqing Liangjiang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
CHO
3 - 2
NAN
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
SHA
0 - 1
CHO
58%
25%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
CHO
1 - 1
BEI
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
CHO
3 - 2
QIN
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
CHO
1 - 0
SHA
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |