Beijing Guoan vs Chengdu Rongcheng analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
MEL
0 - 2
BEI
23%
24%
53%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
BEI
3 - 1
MEL
73%
17%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
FCS
1 - 2
BEI
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
BEI
1 - 1
SHA
42%
24%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
SHA
1 - 2
BEI
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chengdu Rongcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
CBC
0 - 3
CHA
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
HAN
1 - 0
CBC
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CBC
2 - 1
MEI
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
KUN
1 - 1
CBC
31%
29%
40%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CBC
2 - 1
TFC
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |