Beijing Guoan vs Changchun Yatai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
HEB
0 - 4
BEI
9%
20%
72%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
BEI
1 - 3
DAL
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
HAN
2 - 0
BEI
37%
27%
37%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 2
BEI
43%
26%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
BEI
21%
24%
55%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SHE
0 - 2
CHA
26%
24%
50%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
WUZ
1 - 1
CHA
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
WFC
2 - 3
CHA
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 2
SHI
47%
25%
27%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
4 - 1
HEB
72%
19%
9%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |